Title: Information processing in freight and freight forward markets: An event study on OPEC announcements
Authors: Lauenstein, Philipp
Küster-Simić, André
Language: eng
Issue Date: 2016
Other: Dewenter, Ralf
Publisher: Helmut-Schmidt-Universität / Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Fächergruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre
Document Type: Working Paper
Journal / Series / Working Paper (HSU): Diskussionspapier / Helmut-Schmidt-Universität / Fächergruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre 
Issue: 172
Publisher Place: Hamburg
Abstract: 
In this paper, information processing in spot and forward freight markets with respect to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) output announcements is investigated. We use the event study methodology to study returns in tanker freight spot and forward markets around OPEC conferences from 2003 to 2014. Significant abnormal returns indicate that the output decisions are informationally important for the pricing of crude oil transportation services. We consistently find patterns of positive abnormal returns around production increase announcements and negative abnormal returns around announcements of production cuts. Our analysis also suggests that market participants appear to trade three to five days prior to the final announcement based on their anticipation of the actual output announcements. This is consistent with findings from related studies on crude oil returns. Persistence of abnormal returns in the post-event period indicates incomplete initial reactions or at least slow adjustment to disseminated information.
Organization Units (connected with the publication): VWL, insb. Industrieökonomik 
URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/155627
Appears in Collections:2016

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