| DC Field | Value | Language |
|---|---|---|
| dc.contributor.author | Beckmann, Klaus Bertram | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Gattke, Susan | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Lechner, Anja | - |
| dc.contributor.author | Reimer, Lennart | - |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2019-10-04T09:15:53Z | - |
| dc.date.available | 2019-10-04T09:15:53Z | - |
| dc.date.issued | 2016 | - |
| dc.description.abstract | We review, and extend, one of the classic dynamic models of conflict in economics by Richardson (1919) and Boulding (1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peace-keeping, yielding new dynamic patterns of conflict. In addition, we explore an incrementalist version of the model as well as a stochastic one and show how this affects its theoretical stability properties. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998-2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that the simulations fail to converge in a large number of cases, and that one important prediction of the model is not borne out by the data. We therefore conclude that the Boulding-Richardson equations are of limited use for modelling (de-)escalation in dynamic conflict. | - |
| dc.description.sponsorship | VWL, insb. Ökonomik des öffentlichen Sektors | - |
| dc.language.iso | eng | - |
| dc.publisher | Universitätsbibliothek der HSU / UniBwH | - |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Diskussionspapier / Helmut-Schmidt-Universität / Fächergruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre | - |
| dc.title | A critique of the Richardson equations | - |
| dc.type | Working Paper | - |
| dcterms.bibliographicCitation.volume | 162 | - |
| dcterms.bibliographicCitation.originalpublisherplace | Hamburg | - |
| dc.identifier.url | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/146089 | - |
| local.submission.type | only-metadata | - |
| hsu.opac.import | opac-2016 | - |
| hsu.identifier.ppn | 849687667 | - |
| hsu.identifier.ppn | 853472866 | - |
| item.grantfulltext | none | - |
| item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
| item.fulltext_s | No Fulltext | - |
| item.openairetype | Working Paper | - |
| item.fulltext | No Fulltext | - |
| crisitem.author.dept | Helmut-Schmidt-Universität / Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg | - |
| Appears in Collections: | 3 - Publication references (without fulltext) | |
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