|Title:||Right and yet wrong||Subtitle:||a spatio temporal evaluation of Germany's COVID-19 containment policy||Authors:||Berlemann, Michael
|Language:||en||Keywords:||Universitätsbibliographie;Evaluation 2020||Issue Date:||2020||Publisher:||CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute||Document Type:||Working Paper||Journal / Series / Working Paper (HSU):||CESifo working papers||Volume:||8446||Pages:||27 Seiten||Publisher Place:||München||Abstract:||
In order to get the COVID-19 pandemic under control, most governments around the globe have adopted some sort of containment policies. In the light of the enormous costs of these policies, in many countries highly controversial discussions on the adequacy of the chosen policies evolved. We contribute to this discussion by evaluating three waves of containment measures adopted by the German government. Based on a spatio-temporal endemic-epidemic model we show that in retrospective, only the first wave of containment measures clearly contributed to flattening the curve of new infections. However, a real-time analysis using the same empirical model reveals that based on the then available information, the adoption of additional containment measures was warranted. Moreover our spatio-temporal analysis shows that a onesize-fits-all policy, as it was adopted in Germany on the early stages of the epidemic, is not optimal.
|Organization Units (connected with the publication):||VWL, insb. Politische Ökonomik und empirische Wirtschaftsforschung||URL:||https://ub.hsu-hh.de/DB=1.8/XMLPRS=N/PPN?PPN=1725843307
|Appears in Collections:||2020|
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