DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorFoltas, Alexander-
dc.contributor.authorPierdzioch, Christian-
dc.date.accessioned2021-02-15T08:50:57Z-
dc.date.available2021-02-15T08:50:57Z-
dc.date.issued2020-
dc.description.abstractWe study the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts published by three leading German economic research institutes during a period of time ranging from 1970 to 2017. To this end, we examine whether the information used by the research institutes when they formed their forecasts helps to explain the ex-post realized forecast errors. We identify the information that the research institutes used to set up their quantitative forecasts by applying computational-linguistics techniques to decompose the business-cycle reports published by the research institutes into various topics. Our results show that several topics have predictive value for the forecast errors.de_DE
dc.description.sponsorshipVWL, insb. Monetäre Ökonomikde_DE
dc.language.isoende_DE
dc.publisherHumboldt-Universitätde_DE
dc.relation.ispartofWorking Papers of the Priority Programme 1859de_DE
dc.subjectUniversitätsbibliographiede_DE
dc.subjectEvaluation 2020de_DE
dc.titleBusiness-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germanyde_DE
dc.typeWorking Paperde_DE
dc.identifier.urnurn:nbn:de:kobv:11-110-18452/22674-8-
hsu.accessrights.dnbblockedde_DE
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.volume1859de_DE
dcterms.bibliographicCitation.originalpublisherplaceBerlinde_DE
dc.relation.pages15 Seitende_DE
dc.identifier.urlhttps://ub.hsu-hh.de/DB=1.8/XMLPRS=N/PPN?PPN=1735256455-
dc.identifier.urlhttps://edoc.hu-berlin.de/bitstream/handle/18452/22674/SPPWP_22_2020_Foltas_Pierdzioch.pdf?sequence=3&isAllowed=y-
local.submission.typeonly-metadatade_DE
item.grantfulltextnone-
item.fulltext_sNo Fulltext-
item.languageiso639-1en-
item.fulltextNo Fulltext-
item.openairetypeWorking Paper-
crisitem.author.deptVWL, insb. Monetäre Ökonomik-
crisitem.author.deptVWL, insb. Monetäre Ökonomik-
crisitem.author.parentorgFakultät für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften-
crisitem.author.parentorgFakultät für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften-
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